4 Simple Graphs Showing Why This Is Not a Housing Bubble

A recent survey revealed that many consumers believe there’s a housing bubble beginning to form. That feeling is understandable, as year-over-year home price appreciation is still in the double digits. However, this market is very different than it was during the housing crash 15 years ago. Here are four key reasons why today is nothing […]
http://dlvr.it/SK7sC9

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Rates, Construction Stats Showing Hopeful Signs for New Year

Image
Mortgage activity took the usual hit over the last two weeks as the country celebrated a variety of religious and secular holidays. The Mortgage Brokers Association (MBA) was closed during Christmas Week, so this morning’s report encapsulates the December 18 to December 29 period. MBA said its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, declined 9.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis compared to two weeks earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 38 percent.   The unadjusted Refinance Index fell 43 percent below its prior reported level but was 15 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity accounted for 36.3 percent of total applications. The previously reported share was 39.4 percent. [refiappschart] The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index declined by 5 percent over the holiday period while the unadjusted Purchase Index fell 34 percent. The Index was down by 12 percent year-over-year. [purchaseappsc...
Read more

CPI Coming in Hot. Bonds Feeling The Burn

Image
It is a very straightforward morning for the bond market, but not in any sort of pleasant way.  There was a lot at stake heading into today's inflation data and the results carried clear implications for bonds.  Sadly, the implications are not great.  Core monthly inflation came in at 0.4% versus a 0.3% forecast.  Year over year numbers stayed at 3.9% rather than falling to the 3.7% forecast (extra decimals in the underlying numbers explain why we can see a 0.2% miss in annual but only a 0.1% miss in monthly).  Bonds shot higher immediately and somewhat significantly--easily breaking the 4.19% ceiling in 10yr Treasury yields.   This only increases the burden of proof on downbeat economic data to hearken a turning point in inflation. With a strong jobs report in the rearview, we're basically starting at square one. http://dlvr.it/T2hb0r
Read more